Friday, February 20, 2009

Oscar! Finally.


The Oscar show is only days away, and I am a little behind in my predictions.... so here goes.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Josh Brolin, Milk
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

Well, the only suspense here is who is gonna pick up Heath Ledger's statue.
Deserving no doubt, an incredible performance.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, Doubt
Penélope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
There was an alarming bit of news this week from fivethirtyeight.com. That news was that Taraji p. Hensen had a 51% chance of winning. No no no. My hope is Viola Davis, who gave this incredible, powerful performance. It is the shortest screen time of the nominees, so that may work against her. The buzz is for Penelope Cruz, a great performance to be sure, but i want it to be Viola Davis. So i am gonna go out on a limb and say Viola Davis. Fingers crossed.

BEST ACTOR
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

The favorites seem to go back and forth between Sean Penn and Mickey Rourke. While Mickey Rourke's role is fascinating, much of this seems to be about his back story.
Sean Penn channels Harvey Milk. I want Sean Penn to win, so i am gonna say Sean Penn.

Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, The Reader

I am going with Kate Winslet. Too bad Sally Hawkins was not nominated for Happy Go Lucky.

BEST PICTURE
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire
BEST DIRECTOR
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Stephen Daldry, The Reader
Gus Van Sant, Milk

Without a doubt...

1 comment:

Fayaway_Lover said...

Five out of six!

You are the expert.